Impact of climate change on yield production in Algeria: evidence from ARDL empirical approach

Soufiane Mahjoubi and Chamseddine Mkaddem

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study attempts to assess the impact of climate changes factors, such as average rainfall and average temperature on cereal production in Algeria from 1990 to 2019. We employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) simulations techniques and Granger causality test to estimate the long and short-term effects of climate change variables. The results showed that the rainfall, agricultural technology, agricultural labour, and cultivation of land enhance cereal output. The long-run ARDL model results provides that the temperature does not impact on cereal productivity. The findings provided by Granger causality tests also suggest that there is a unidirectional relationship between cereal production, climatic variables, and non-climate factors. The ARDL technique provides a better methodology to understanding of the variability of cereal production in Algeria as a result of climate factors.

Keywords: climate change; crop production; ARDL approach; granger causality; Algeria (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 Q18 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-ara and nep-env
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:115565

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