In the Shadow of War: Social, Distributive and Civil Conflicts in Belarus, Latvia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Lithuania, Russian Federation, Tajikistan and Ukraine

Alfio Cerami

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This article examines the relationship between presence of vertical and horizontal inequalities and the emergence of social, distributive and civil conflicts in Belarus, Latvia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Lithuania, Russian Federation, Tajikistan and Ukraine. Are ethnic, religious or linguistic conflict related reasons alone responsible for the emergence of social, distributive and civil conflicts? If not, what other factors play an equally determinant role (e.g. structure of the economy, regime type, welfare institutions, public policies) in structuring and determining in-groups and out-groups related tensions? These are the key quest this article addresses. In this article I show unstable trends in night lights development and associated electricity usage, which follow recent tensions in the oil and gas economic and political markets. The more oil and gas prices/supply become unstable, the more are the prospects for national and subnational social, distributive and civil conflicts.

Keywords: Eastern Europe; in-groups and out-groups related tensions; social; distributive and civil conflicts; vertical and horizontal inequalities; shadow of war; Commonwealth of Independent States (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D1 D13 D6 D7 D70 D71 D72 D73 D74 D78 D79 D90 E3 I3 I30 I31 I32 I38 J7 J71 J78 L1 P1 P10 P16 P2 P3 P36 P5 P51 P52 R2 R20 R28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-09-23
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-ene and nep-tra
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