Assessing the effectiveness of international government responses to the COVID-19 pandemic

Hector Lopez-Medoza, Maria A. González-Álvarez and Antonio Montañés

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper studies the effectiveness of the non-pharmaceutical measures adopted by governments in order to control the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. To that end, we estimate a Panel VAR model for 50 countries and test for causality between the 7 day cumulative incidence, the mortality rate and a stringency index that measures government actions. The use of Granger-type statistics provides evidence that the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic caused the measures taken by governments; however, we cannot find evidence of the reverse situation. This result suggests that the government measures were not very effective in controlling the pandemic. This does not necessarily imply that the government responses were useless. However, our results show a considerable lack of effectiveness, a lesson that governments should learn and correct if similar events occur again.

Keywords: Government response index; stringency indexes; Granger causality; incidence, SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C23 H0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Related works:
Journal Article: Assessing the effectiveness of international government responses to the COVID-19 pandemic (2024)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:117826

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