Muti-Scenarios Population Projection for Algeria using R

Farid Flici

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In this manual, we present a methodology of doing a multi-scenarios population projections for Algeria using R. The methodology used consists of the Cohort-Component Method. A detailled methodology of doing mono-scenario population projection in R was already presented in Flici (2020). Here, mortality Scenarios are defined using the predictive intervals of a stochastic forecast, while the Fertility scenarios are expert-based. Here, 5 scenarios are simulated, the Age-Specific fertility rates are then defined using the Lee-Carter Model for fertility (Lee,1993).Later on, we shows how to make dynamic visualizations of the multi-scenario projections.

Keywords: multi-scenario; projection; Algeria; R (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-05-06
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/119600/1/MPRA_paper_119600.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:119600

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().