Прогностическая оценка устойчивого развития импортозависимых секторов экономики региона в условиях внешнего давления

Forecast assessment of sustainable development of import-dependent sectors of the regional economy under external pressure

Leonid Elshin, Polina Mikhalevich and Almaz Mingulov

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The aim of the work is to develop and test methodological approaches to the empirical assessment of the prospects for regional economic dynamics in the context of disruption of supply chains of industry imports. The object of the study is one of the most developed regions of Russia - the Republic of Tatarstan. The main results of the study are the discovered patterns that reveal the features of the sensitivity of regional industrial complexes to restrictions in the supply of goods from abroad in the context of sanctions pressure on the national economy of the Russian Federation and the strengthening of secondary sanctions on friendly countries implementing foreign economic activity with residents of Russia

Keywords: sanctions pressure; sustainable economic development; region; import dependence; risks; types of economic activity; economic and mathematical modeling; scenario modeling; forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-09-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-env and nep-ure
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:122707

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