Does economic growth reduce or increase pollution? An examination of Croatia’s sector-specific Environmental Kuznets Curve

Leonarda Srdelic and Radoslav Barisic

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of sector-specific Environmental Kuznets Curves (EKC) in Croatia from 1995 to 2021. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error Correction Models (ECM), the relationship between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed across key climate-policy relevant sectors (CPRS). A stable long-term relationship with significant short-term adjustments was found in the energy-intensive sector, which is regulated under the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). Long-term cointegration, but with non-significant short-term adjustments, was observed in the buildings, transportation, and utility/electricity sectors. Among sectors with a significant long-term relationship, an inverted U-shaped Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC)—where emissions initially rise and then, after reaching a certain GDP threshold, decline—was identified in the buildings and energy-intensive sectors. In contrast, a U-shaped relationship was found in the utility/electricity sector, where emissions initially decrease but start to increase again as GDP grows. The transportation sector shows a positive linear relationship with GDP, with emissions rising consistently with economic growth, highlighting the need for targeted interventions like carbon pricing. Conversely, the fossil fuel sector shows no significant GDP-emissions relationship, pointing to external factors like geopolitical risks as primary influences.

Keywords: Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC); greenhouse gas emissions (GHG); climate- policy relevant sectors (CPRS); European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS); Croatia. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O11 Q53 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene, nep-env and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/122841/1/MPRA_paper_122841.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:122841

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().