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Theoretical Modeling of Macroeconomic Stability under Austerity: The Roles of FDI, Consumption Volatility, and Wage Financing

Houssam Boughabi

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study examines the persistence of investment in a closed economy under austerity conditions, focusing on the interaction between foreign direct investment (FDI), public expenditures, and payroll financing. We develop a dynamic model where investment volatility follows a FIGARCH process, capturing long-memory effects, while household consumption and investment interact through adaptive expectations. Policy implications suggest that strategic fiscal interventions can mitigate the adverse effects of economic contractions, supporting long-term investment flows and financial stability.

Keywords: Investment Volatility; Austerity Policies; Economic Dynamics; Fiscal Policy Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 E62 G32 H63 H68 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-05-22
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Published in Journal of Business and Econometrics Studies 3.2(2025): pp. 1-6

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