US labor market conditions and migration: a reassessment of Bahar (2025)

Francisco Rodriguez and Giancarlo Bravo

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Bahar (2025) argues that there is a long-term cointegrating relationship between US job vacancies and Southwest border crossings. We show that his conclusion is based on a misspecified Engle–Granger test applied to first differences. Once the Engle Granger test is correctly applied to levels, evidence for a cointegrating relationship vanishes, invalidating the paper’s approach to estimating short- and long-run elasticities. Bahar’s approach is therefore uninformative about the relationship between US labor market conditions and migration.

Keywords: Migration; Labor Markets; Cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-12-24
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