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Firm Expectations and Debt Growth

Sebastian Eiblmeier

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper explores the link between business outlook and corporate debt. Previous research has found business outlook to be a key determinant of firm investment and firm investment to be a key reason for firms to take on debt. This implies a connection between outlook and debt. Indeed, panel regressions show a tight connection between business sentiment and firms' debt growth. A mediation analysis reveals that most of this effect runs through inventories and accounts receivable, whereas for investment only a smaller effect can be found.

Keywords: Firm expectations; corporate finance; panel regression; mediation analysis. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 D22 D84 D92 G31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-03-07
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