Giant Inflation Theory, monetary policy and corruption

Hussein Ali Mubarak Mubarak

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: *Abstract: Giant Inflation Theory* Giant Inflation Theory presents a new economic framework for analyzing hyperinflation episodes exceeding 1,000,000% annually. Unlike classical monetary models that attribute hyperinflation primarily to excessive money supply, this theory integrates institutional and governance factors, with emphasis on systemic corruption as a core accelerator. The model proposes that when corruption indices cross a critical threshold, public trust in monetary policy collapses, triggering three feedback loops: (1) capital flight and dollarization, (2) collapse of tax revenue leading to deficit monetization, and (3) indexation of wages and prices that creates inertial inflation. These mechanisms drive economies into a "giant inflation" regime where price levels can double in days or hours. Using case studies from historical and contemporary hyperinflations, the theory identifies early-warning indicators and tipping points where conventional stabilization policies become ineffective. It further outlines a two-stage recovery protocol: institutional anti-corruption reform followed by currency reform with external anchoring. Giant Inflation Theory provides policymakers with a predictive tool for assessing inflationary risk in fragile states and proposes that monetary stability cannot be restored without addressing governance deficits. The findings suggest that corruption control is not only a political issue but a prerequisite for macroeconomic stability. *Keywords*: hyperinflation, corruption, monetary policy, economic crisis, institutional

Keywords: Inflation; monetary policy; corruption (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E00 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026, Revised 2026
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