Breaks in the Breaks: A Time-Series Analysis of Divorce Rates

Rafael González-Val and Miriam Marcén

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The economic literature examining changes in divorce rates is not conclusive since legal reforms have been found to have permanent, transitory or no effect on divorce rates. This paper studies differences in divorce rates among 16 European countries from 1930 to 2006, by exploiting time-series analysis. We find that 37.5% of the divorce rate’s series are stationary, so that any shock had a transitory effect. However, we also detect structural breaks in the average divorce rate for each country that are endogenously located very close to the year of the divorce law legislation (the same year or some years later).

Keywords: Divorce rate; unit root; structural break (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C12 C22 J12 J18 K36 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-01-31
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https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14851/1/MPRA_paper_14851.pdf original version (application/pdf)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/21923/1/MPRA_paper_21923.pdf revised version (application/pdf)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/34420/1/MPRA_paper_34420.pdf revised version (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:14851

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