Construction d’un modèle macroéconomique keynésien avec économie informelle: un exercice de simulation

Construction of a Keynesian macroeconomic model with informal economy: a simulation exercise

Sadri Slim ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The purpose of this article is to construct a Keynesian model which integrates the informal economy, based on a short-term analysis. From a structural system of 23 equations, we propose a simple modeling that allows for an assessment of the impact of illegal activities on the major macroeconomic variables. Stemmed from a simulation exercise, the results indicate that multiplier effects due to a unit variation of informal income are significant on the main national aggregates. Particularly, for an economy which exhibits a high rate of imports penetration, multiplier effects lead to a reduction of legal income, legal savings of firms and government, legal investment as well as legal importations.

Keywords: economie informelle; modèle macroéconomique; effets multiplicateurs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E12 E26 E27 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-10-21
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:20656

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