世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测

An Introduction to World Economic Long Wave-Crises and Depressions: From Study to Anticipation

Congcong Dong ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: As is considered in this paper，none of the ever existing long wave theories can totally describe or correctly explain the chronic fluctuating characters of the capitalist world economy system since the year 1857. Based on Karl Marx’s greatest work “Capital” and combined with considerable quantities of historical materials such as all kinds of writings about economic long wave both at home and abroad，the paper analyzes four inherently identical waves，tries to draw a fluctuating graph of the world economy with the wavelength supposed to be 50 years，and then forecasts the future of the world.

Keywords: economic crisis; long wave; forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E11 E17 E32 E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-02-27, Revised 2006-03-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-for, nep-his, nep-hpe and nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:2106

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