Теорема о существовании разрывов в шкале вероятностей. II

Theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale. II

Alexander Harin

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proved. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

Keywords: probability; economics; forecasting; modeling; modelling; utility; decisions; uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C1 C5 D81 E17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-05-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-for and nep-upt
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