The analysis of budget rules and macroeconomic implications in several developed economies

Razvan Popescu and Sergiu Prodan

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The purpose of budget rules can be explored from the perspective of the expected results, obtained by their enforcement. On one hand, they are meant to improve or at least maintain certain levels of the budgetary deficit and public debt. On the other hand, they can help or limit the economic development perspectives of states, influencing important macroeconomic variables. Starting with the evolution of the budgetary deficit, under the hypothesis that the most important determinant lies within the budget rules implementation process, this analysis is focused on the influence of several budget rules on the nominal interest rate. Our motivation is based on the need to present the differences between the analyzed countries in order to reveal if there were effects from the recession periods. The numeric part was made using panel data from eight west European countries along with Australia and New Zeeland. The analysis is compound of a two method estimation of the relationship between nominal interest rate and several factors that are strongly connected with the budget rules.

Keywords: budgetary deficit; public debt; interest rate; golden rule of public finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E62 H62 H72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010, Revised 2010
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Published in Budgetary Research Review 2/2010.2(2010): pp. 60-91

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:25897

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