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Latvijas būvniecības nozares attīstības prognoze

Latvian construction brunch development forecast

Valerijs Skribans

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In work development of the construction branch in Latvia is forecasted. The forecast is developed used system dynamic method (by J. Forrester) and Latvian construction brunch forecasting model (RTU). Construction demand consists of the state construction orders, construction demand of inhabitants and enterprises. Definitely, that in Latvia in the given conditions a dominant role in the common construction demand have demand of the enterprises. But, with growth of well-being of the population, the dominant role may pass to construction demand of inhabitants, and/ or to the state construction orders in other circumstances. In Latvian construction industry are problems in construction material production, with profession workers and management, with producing means and low enterprises spirit in Latvians firm.

Keywords: nozares prognozēšana; būvniecības ekonomika; dinamiskā simulācija; modelēšana (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 C02 C49 C51 C53 L74 L85 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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