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An incomplete ignorance state in repeated-play decision making: A note on Bayesian decision-theoretical framework

Yohei Kobayashi and Takemi Fujikawa ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: There has been much reported on decisions from experience, also referred to as decisions in a complete ignorance fashion. This note lays out a Bayesian decision-theoretical framework that provides a computable account for decisions from experience. To make the framework more tractable, this note sets up and examines decisions in a incomplete ignorance fashion. The current discussion asserts that well-known behavioural effects, such as the hot stove effect, and the Bayesian framework may lead to different predictions.

Keywords: Bayesian updating; complete ignorance; decisions from experience; incomplete ignorance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 D03 D81 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-12-01
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