Vietnam’s Accession to the World Trade Organization: Economic Projections to 2020

David Roland-Holst, Finn Tarp, Van An Dinh, Vo Tri Thanh, Pham Lan Huong and Hien Minh Dinh

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study presents a set of assessments of the long term economic effects of Vietnam’s accession to the WTO. Generally speaking, our results indicate that Vietnam would benefit from accelerating its participation in more open multilateralism. However, it is also clear from our analysis that these benefits will remain modest in the absence of comprehensive and complementary domestic economic reforms. Passive external liberalization, even when coupled with determined domestic reform, is inferior to WTO participation combined with negotiated market access and other activist multilateral agreements. Finally, our analysis shows that capital insufficiency is a very serious constraint on Vietnamese economic growth and diversification. Capital market reform can play an essential role in dynamic and sustained economic development for the country.

Keywords: Vietnam; WTO; Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A1 F13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (10)

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