Holding together or falling apart:Results of gravity equation of the CIS trade
Elvira Kurmanalieva () and
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Евгений Юрьевич Винокуров ()
MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany
The main purpose of this paper is to assess intra-regional trade within the CIS by looking at the impact of numerous trade agreements in the region. Applying a gravity model on a set of 162 countries, we attempt to assess dynamics of intra-regional trade of various trade agreements between 1995 and 2008 in order to identify trade creation and trade diversion effects. We propose and empirically test three explanations of the CIS intra-regional trade: 1) home bias effect, 2) holding together effect and 3) holdup effect. Finally, we perform a simulation of potential trade and see to what extent twelve post-Soviet states and all their groupings would, ceteris paribus, have traded with each other.
Keywords: Soviet Union; CIS; EurAsEC; CES; Gravity equation; Trade potential; Panel data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 F13 C23 O54 O52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis, nep-cmp, nep-int and nep-tra
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:32003
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