Dynamic model of procrastination

Martin Vrany

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Procrastination is the notorious tendency to postpone work for tomorrow. This paper presents a formal model of procrastination based on expectations and prospect theory, which differs signficantly from the prevalent model of O’Donoghue and Rabin. Subject is assumed to work on a task for distant reward which depends on the number of periods actually spent working, where the subject faces varying op- portunity costs of working each period before the deadline. In order to assess a hypothesis that procrastination is an evolved and stable habit, the model is rendered dynamic in that past decisions and circumstances affect the present. The model is first explored via qualitative analysis and simulations are performed to further reveal its functionality.

Keywords: procrastination; dynamic inconsistency; intertemporal choice; prospect theory; hyperbolic discounting; expectations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D0 D03 D81 D84 D90 J22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-10-14
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-evo and nep-mic
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:32618

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