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Testable implications of economic revolutions: An application to historic data on European wages

John Fry and Omar Masood

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Motivated by an on-going debate in economic history we develop a simple method to quantify the impact of economic revolutions upon a novel historical data set listing the wages of building craftsmen and labourers in Southeast Europe. Structural breaks are found in the data and signify the effects of economic revolutions. With a small number of localised exceptions economic revolutions, caused by technological and administrative progress, lead to a decrease in the long-term level of wage volatility and overall results suggest close analogies between biological and economic evolution. The Commercial Revolution (mid 16th-early 18th centuries) acts as an important pre-requisite for the later Industrial Revolution (mid 18th-19th centuries). The Price Revolution (15th-16th centuries) results in some short-term increases in wage volatility.

Keywords: Historical Economics; Economic Revolutions; Economic Evolution; European Wages (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G00 N00 N01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-08-15
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his, nep-hme and nep-lab
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