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Poverty, inflation and economic growth: empirical evidence from Pakistan

Muhammad Chani (), Zahid Pervaiz, Sajjad Ahmad Jan, Amjad Ali () and Amatul R. Chaudhary

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study aims to investigate the role of economic growth and inflation in explaining the prevalence of poverty in Pakistan. ARDL bound testing approach to co-integration confirms the existence of long run relationship among the variables of poverty, economic growth, inflation, investment and trade openness over the period of 1972-2008. Empirical results show that economic growth and investment have negative and inflation has positive impact on poverty. The effect of trade openness on poverty is insignificant in this study. The short run analysis reveals that economic growth has negative and inflation has positive impact on poverty whereas the role of investment and trade openness in poverty reduction in short run is not significant.

Keywords: Poverty; Inflation; Economic Grovvth; Pakistan; Macroeconomic Policy; Welfare; Trade Openness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 F43 C01 I32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa, nep-fdg and nep-mac
Date: 2011, Revised 2011
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Published in World Applied Sciences Journal 7.14(2011): pp. 1058-1063

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