EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Income shocks and social unrest: theory and evidence

Christian Almer, Jérémy Laurent-Lucchetti and Manuel Oechslin ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Combining theoretical and empirical work, this paper explores the impact of economic shocks on the incidence of social unrest (i.e., mass demonstrations and violent riots) in autocracies. Our theory predicts negative economic shocks to boost unrest since-in bad times-fighting the regime to reduce the level of resource diversion becomes cheaper. Using a new dataset on political instability in Africa, our empirical analysis confirms this prediction. The instrumental variables estimates-which take into account the potential endogeneity of economic shocks-suggest a significant increase in the level of social unrest as a response to a decline in real per capita GDP.

Keywords: Conflict; social unrest; economic shocks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O17 D74 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/34426/1/MPRA_paper_34426.pdf original version (application/pdf)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/34487/7/MPRA_paper_34487.pdf revised version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:34426

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().

 
Page updated 2020-11-14
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:34426