Dinámica de corto plazo del empleo en las maquiladoras de Reynosa, Tamaulipas

Short-run dynamics of payrolls in the maquiladora sector of Reynosa, Tamaulipas (Mexico)

Thomas Fullerton (), Juan Carlos Vazquez Morales and Martha P. Barraza de Anda

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This research analyzes short-run payroll dynamics associated with the maquiladora export sector of Reynosa, Tamaulipas, Mexico. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function ARIMA analysis. In contrast to other metropolitan economies for which similar econometric analyses have been completed, real currency movements are not found to be statistically significant. Explanatory variables that do satisfy the significance criterion include industrial activity in the United States, real wages, and the number of factories in operation. Out-of-sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1- to 24 months into the future.

Keywords: Maquiladoras; Mexico; Employment; Border Economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 R15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-09-09, Revised 2011-02-15
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Published in Ensayos Revista de Economía 1.30(2011): pp. 23-40

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Related works:
Journal Article: Dinamica de corto plazo del empleo en las maquiladoras de Reynosa, Tamaulipas (2011)
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