The Bilateral J-curve: Turkey versus her 13 Trading Partners

Ferda Halicioglu

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study empirically analyses bilateral J-curve dynamics of Turkey with her thirteen trading partners using quarterly time series data over the period 1985-2005. Previous studies on the J-curve of Turkey are based on only aggregate data and they reveal mixed results. Short and long-run impacts of the depreciation of Turkish lira on the trade balance between Turkey and her thirteen trading partners are estimated from the bound testing approach and error correction modeling. The empirical results indicate that whilst there is no J-curve effect in the short-run, but in the long-run, the real depreciation of the Turkish lira has positive impact on Turkey’s trade balance in couple of countries. The stability of the long-run trade balance equations is also checked through CUSUM and CUSUMSQ stability tests.

Keywords: J-curve; co-integration; stability tests; Turkey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 F14 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cwa and nep-int
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Journal Article: The bilateral J-curve: Turkey versus her 13 trading partners (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:3564

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