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Is there an electoral-motivated crime rate cycle? Evidence from Argentina

Osvaldo Meloni

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In the last three decades Argentina tripled its crime rate boosting safety at the top of mayor concerns of Argentineans which leaves open the question about the behavior of incumbent governors of the 23 provinces about anti-crime measures in the proximity of elections. How do incumbent governors react to escalating crime as elections come closer? This paper investigates electorally-motivated crime rate fluctuations in Argentina for the period 1984-2007. District–level dynamic panel data reveals the existence of an electoral cycle in the total crime rate as well as in property crimes.

Keywords: Crime; Electoral cycles; Dynamic Panel Data; Argentina (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 K42 P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-06-19
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-law and nep-pol
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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