Currency Preferences in a Tri-Polar Model of Foreign Exchange

Martin Melecký

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper reopens the subject of currency preferences while modeling the exchange rates among three major currencies - the US dollar, the euro and the Japanese yen. The exchange rate model presented in this paper includes not only traditional determinants of bilateral exchange rates but incorporates third-currency effects in addition. The obtained estimation results are interpreted from the perspective of possible currency substitution and complementarity relationships. We find evidence of currency complementarity between the yen and the euro, and currency substitution of the dollar for both the euro and the yen. The estimated third-currency effects are consistent with our findings on currency substitution and complementarity among the three major currencies.

Keywords: Exchange Rate Modeling; Currency Substitution; Currency Complementarity; Third-Currency Effects (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F36 F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-ifn and nep-mon
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:4186

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