Democratization and civil war

Laura E. Armey and Robert McNab ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We examine the impact of civil war on democratization. Using a theoretical bargaining model, we hypothesize that prolonged violence, war termination, the presence of natural resources, and international intervention influence democratization. We test these hypotheses using an unbalanced panel data set of 96 countries covering a 34-year period. We determine that civil war lowers democratization in the succeeding period. This finding appears to be robust to conditioning, different instrument sets, and the measurement of democracy. In addition, we observe evidence that external intervention increases democratization.

Keywords: Civil War; Democracy; Conflict; Democratization; Outcomes of War (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H56 N40 O11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-09-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-his
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:42460

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