Impact of playoffs on seasonal uncertainty in Czech ice hockey Extraliga

Jiří Lahvička

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In the top Czech ice hockey competition “Extraliga”, 14 geographically close teams compete during a regular season in a pure round-robin tournament. However, the eventual champion is determined in the additional playoff stage; the regular season just decides which teams qualify for the playoffs and how these teams are seeded. This paper uses a Monte Carlo simulation to show that although the additional playoff stage heavily favors higher-seeded teams and consists of a lot of matches, it lowers the probability of the best team becoming a champion and thus increases seasonal uncertainty.

Keywords: seasonal uncertainty; Monte Carlo; ice hockey; tournament design (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-02-27
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