Euroization and cyclical stabilization in Montenegro: an empirical analysis

Alexandre Sokic and Nikola Fabris

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to evaluate the importance of the issue of the loss of an independent monetary policy in the case of officially euroized Montenegro. We examine the extent to which the monetary policy of the European Central Bank, which is set according to the economic conditions prevailing in the euro area, has contributed to the stabilisation of the business cycle of unilaterally euroized Montenegro. It is shown that under euroization the ECB monetary policy has been acyclical with respect to Montenegrin inflation and significantly countercyclical with respect to Montenegrin output growth. The comparative analysis with Serbia does not show that keeping an independent monetary policy would have improved the cyclical stabilisation in Montenegro. The pass-through from ECB policy rates to retail interest rates prevailing at commercial banks in Montenegro is shown to depend significantly on the macroeconomic and banking conditions prevailing in Montenegro.

Keywords: euroisation; dollarization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E3 E31 E5 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-04-25
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:46537

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