Misalignment under different exchange rate regimes: the case of Turkey

Sengül Dağdeviren, Ayla Ogus Binatli and Niloufer Sohrabji

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The paper examines misalignment of the Turkish lira between 1998 to 2008. Misalignment, specifically overvaluation has been linked to fixed exchange rate regimes. By studying the case of Turkey during this period which covers both a fixed and floating exchange rate regime, we contribute to the literature on the relation between misalignment and exchange rate regimes. We first estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate for Turkey, then compute misalignment and finally test for structural breaks in the misalignment series. Through our tests we find three structural regimes which we call the pre-crisis period, the transition period and the post-crisis period. We find considerable overvaluation in first regime, which is when Turkey had a fixed exchange rate regime. This was not the case for the periods that had floating exchange rates. Thus, we conclude that overvalued currencies that have been linked to financial crises are a more serious concern for fixed exchange rate regimes.

Keywords: Cointegration; equilibrium real exchange rate; misalignment; structural breaks; Turkey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F31 F32 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-07-07
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Published in Economie Internationale 130.2012(2012): pp. 81-98

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/46774/1/MPRA_paper_46774.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:46774

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().