Dinámica del Consumo de Gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua

Gasoline Consumption Dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua

Thomas Fullerton (), Gabriel Munoz Sapien, Martha P. Barraza de Anda and Lisbeily Dominguez Ruvalcaba

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This research analyzes short-run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function ARIMA analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due to its location on the border with the United States. Explanatory variables that satisfy the significance criterion include the real price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez, the price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez relative to that charged across the border in El Paso, Texas, USA, and formal sector employment in Ciudad Juárez. Out-of-sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1 to 24 months into the future.

Keywords: Gasoline Consumption; Border Economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 Q41 R15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-11-11, Revised 2012-06-15
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published in Estudios Fronterizos 26.13(2012): pp. 91-107

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/46853/1/MPRA_paper_46853.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:46853

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().