Model projections and policy reviews for energy saving in China's service sector

Lin Zhang

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Energy efficiency of buildings in the service sector is becoming increasingly important in China due to the structural shift of the economy from industry to services. This paper employs a bottom-up cohort model to simulate current energy saving policies and to make projections for future energy use and CO2 emissions for the period 2000-2030 in the Chinese service sector. The analysis shows that energy demand in the service sector will approximately triple in 2030, far beyond the target of quadrupling GDP while only doubling energy use. However, it is feasible to achieve the target of emission reduction by 40% in 2020 even under the poor state of compliance rate of building standard. This paper also highlights four crucial aspects of designing optimal energy saving policies for China's service sector based on the model results.

Keywords: Energy saving policy; Bottom-up; Service sector (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C63 Q43 Q47 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene and nep-tra
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:47061

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