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Oil Price Shocks, Firm Uncertainty and Investment

Kiseok Lee, Wensheng Kang and Ronald Ratti

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: It is found that an oil price shock in interaction with a firm’s stock price volatility has a ‎negative effect on investment by that firm, both in the short and long-term. In the presence of ‎this interaction term, linear variables in oil price shocks are not statistically significant. There is ‎evidence that for the short-term effects of the interaction variable, the particular magnitude of an ‎oil price shock may not be as important as the fact that there is an oil price shock. For the long-‎term effects, however, the magnitude of the oil price shock does matter. Over a longer horizon, ‎oil price shocks depress investment more at firms facing greater uncertainty. An increase in firm ‎stock price volatility continues to reduce the link between sales growth and investment in the ‎presence of oil price shocks as in Bloom et al. (2007).‎

Keywords: Oil price shocks; firm uncertainty; stock price volatility; investment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E2 G31 Q43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-09-01
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Journal Article: OIL PRICE SHOCKS, FIRM UNCERTAINTY, AND INVESTMENT (2011) Downloads
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