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Measuring the Economic Stock of Money

Logan Kelly

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Aggregation theoretic measures of the capital stock of money have in the past been criticized for their dependence on future expectations. I attempt to answer some of those objections by using several forecasting methods to generate expectations needed for calculating the economic stock of money. I show that targeted factor model forecasting improves the accuracy of monetary capital stock measurements slightly. However, I also find, as has previous research, that monetary capital stock calculations are robust to assumptions about future expectation. I believe these findings tend to support the conclusion that concerns about the dependency of theoretical monetary stock aggregates on forecasted future expectations have been overstated.

Keywords: Monetary Aggregation; Money Stoc; Economic Stock of Money; Targeted Factor Models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-09-13
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
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https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/4914/1/MPRA_paper_4914.pdf original version (application/pdf)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/5528/2/MPRA_paper_5528.pdf revised version (application/pdf)

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