Un Test sulle Ipotesi delle Proiezioni a medio-lungo termine della Spesa Sanitaria

Testing Hypotheses at the basis of medium-long term Projections of Health Care Expenditure

Nicola Salerno ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The same methodology Oecd and Ecofin apply to project future trends of health care expenditue is here applied to reconstruct backwards Italian health care expenditure. The time horizon is 1988-2012. Results are described and argued. Important evidence emerges on the historical value of the elasticity of per-capita expenditure to per-capita Gdp. This value, of course, brings also some information on what this elasticity can prove in the future. It is the first test developed on past trends using profiles of per-capita expenditure per age brackets, and applied to Italy.

Keywords: health care; projections; halth care projections; medium-long term; Oecd; Awg; Ecofin; Imf; International Monetary Fund; Ageing Working Group; Ageing Report; European Commission; sustainability; public finances; elasticity; Gdp; per-capita expenditue; per-capita Gdp; historical trends; welfare system; pay-as-you-go; age brackets; Europan Economy; Italy; nicola c. alerno; nicola salerno; nc salerno; salerno nc; nicola.salerno@tin.it; nicolacsalerno (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H00 H4 H40 H5 H51 H54 I0 I00 I1 I10 I18 I31 J1 J11 J14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age, nep-dem and nep-his
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