Financial Cycles: A Key To Deciphering Seismic Cycles?

David McMinn

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: A 9/56 year cycle was first established for US and Western European financial panics occurring since 1760 and was attributed to lunisolar tidal effects. This cycle was then extrapolated to the timing of major earthquakes in various countries and regions around the world, a proposition that could be supported by numerous correlates. These favourable outcomes suggested that other findings in Moon-Sun finance may also show up in earthquake cycles. Thus, the author’s work on market activity was summarized and presented in this paper, as it may prove helpful in the design of future investigations in seismology. Importantly, Fibonacci – Lucas numbers and the ratio Phi in financial and lunisolar cycles implied that these factors could also be relevant in earthquake trends. However, no evidence could be offered to support such a speculation.

Keywords: 9/56 year cycle; financial panics; earthquakes; Dow Jones Industrial Average; annual one day falls; Phi ratio; Fibonacci numbers; Lucas numbers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Z0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-06
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Published in New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter 63 (2012): pp. 15-36

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:51683

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