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Cursed beliefs with common-value public goods

Caleb Cox

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: I show how improper conditioning of beliefs can lead to under-contribution in public goods environments with interdependent values. I consider a simple model of a binary, excludable public good. In equilibrium, provision of the public good is good news about its value. Naive players who condition expectations only on their private information contribute too little, despite the absence of free-riding incentives. In a laboratory experiment, subjects indeed under-contribute relative to equilibrium. Using modified games with different belief conditioning effects, I verify that under-contribution is due to improper belief conditioning. I find little evidence of learning over multiple rounds of play.

Keywords: Public goods; experiments; cursed equilibrium; game theory (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C72 C92 D71 H41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-01-21
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cbe, nep-cdm, nep-cta, nep-exp, nep-gth and nep-mic
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