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Financial Market Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Moroccan Stock Market

Ahmed El Ghini and Youssef Saidi ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In this paper, we aim at the study of the contagion of the global financial crisis (2007-2009) on Moroccan stock market. Our study focuses to examine whether contagion effects exist on Moroccan stock market, during the current financial crisis. Following Forbes and Rigobon (2002), we define contagion as a positive shift in the degree of comovement between asset returns. We use stock returns in MASI, CAC, DAX, FTSE and NASDAQ as representatives of Moroccan, French, German, British and U.S. markets respectively. To measure the degree of volatility comovement, time-varying correlation coefficients are estimated by flexible multivariate dynamic conditional correlation (DCC). We investigate empirical studies using the DCC-GARCH model to test the contagion hypothesis from U.S. and European markets to the Moroccan one.

Keywords: Multivariate GARCH model; financial crisis; contagion hypothesis; break identification; conditional volatility; volatility comovement. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C5 G01 G1 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-12-28
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https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/53392/1/MPRA_paper_53392.pdf original version (application/pdf)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/53490/1/MPRA_paper_53392.pdf revised version (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Financial market contagion during the global financial crisis: evidence from the Moroccan stock market (2015) Downloads
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