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Studying the Validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) in the Egyptian Exchange (EGX) after the 25th of January Revolution

Mona Kamal

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: There is no doubt that the close of the Egyptian Exchange (EGX) during the period 28/1- 22/3/2011 in the wake of 25th of January Revolution has a consequence on the efficiency of the stock market. This paper assesses the 'close-open-effect' on the main price indices. The results indicate the absence of unit roots in the main price indices before and after the revolution. This implies the rejection of weak-form efficiency. The estimation of the (EGARCH model) reflects information asymmetry after the revolution with bad news affecting the investors’ expectations more rapidly. In addition, a negative and significant 'close-open-effect' on the returns of the main price index is evident in the results.

Keywords: The Egyptian Exchange (EGX); the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-03-23
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ara and nep-fmk
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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