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A Preliminary Analysis of the Presidential Approval Rating

Richard Cebula ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study empirically investigates whether the performance of the S&P 500 stock index, whose performance is treated as a surrogate for the performance of domestic stock/equity markets generally, influences the Presidential approval rating. After allowing for a variety of political factors and economic factors in addition to the S&P 500 stock index, it is found that the Presidential approval rating is indeed significantly enhanced by increasing values for this indicator of equity performance.

Keywords: presidential approval rating; S&P performance; economic factors; political factors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 D73 D78 G19 H22 H24 H26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-11-16
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Published in The Elgar Companion to Public Economics: Empirical Public Economics (2006): pp. 274-281

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