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Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Model: Evidence for Bolivia 1953-2002

Bismarck Arevilca Vasquez () and Adrian Winston Risso Charquero

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Theoretical and empirical literature have focused on supply factors when studying economic growth determinants. The present work analyzes demand factors as determinants of the Bolivian economic growth between 1953-2002 using framework introduced by Thirlwall (1979). According to cointegration analysis exports were an important determinant in the Bolivian economic growth for the whole period. In addition, real exchange rate presents a negative relationship respect to the long run growth. Further results show that Bolivian imports are more elastics than exports respect to the GDP, determining a negative impact in trade balance. An hypothesis is that the implemented economic model after 1985 has increased the external constraint of the country causing a process of “deindustrialization”.

Keywords: Bolivia, Growth; Thirlwall’s Law; Cointegration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O1 F1 C2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-10-14
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fdg
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Working Paper: Balance of payments constrained growth model: evidence for Bolivia 1953-2002 (2007) Downloads
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