Changement climatique, agriculture et croissance économique:Une modélisation VAR

Climate Change, Agriculture and Economic Growth: A VAR modeling

Zouabi Oussama

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The present study is to show the impact of precipitation and temperature on economic growth through agriculture in Tunisia. Agriculture is considered a key sector is of great importance in the Tunisian economy. Furthermore, the presence of climate change in developing countries in the Mediterranean region has been regarded as a place of transition between two major climatic units, becomes a certainty and is an ecological, economic and social threat. This analysis was made on the basis of tests of stationarity and a VAR model. The findings of the study that there is a long-term relationship between temperature and rainfall. In addition, temperature has a direct negative effect on economic growth in Tunisia.

Keywords: climate change; agricultural; GDP and VAR. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 Q1 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012, Revised 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:61072

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