On a Testing Procedure for Model Selection
John Panaretos and
Stelios Psarakis
MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany
Abstract:
In this paper a forecasting model selection scheme is considered which amounts to testing the predictive behaviour of a model by adopting Xekalaki and Katti's (1984) idea of assigning to its performance a score for each of a series of time points. The score reflects how close to, or how far from, the predictive value the observed actual value is. A statistical test is proposed for comparing the forecasting performances of two models
JEL-codes: C1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1991
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Published in Proceedings of the 48th Session of the International Statistical Institute, Cairo (1991): pp. 513-514
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:6260
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