Central Bank Credibility and Black Market Exchange Rate Premia: A Panel Time Series Analysis

Fuad Mammadov ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The major goal of this study was analyze the effect of “credibility” shocks to the dynamics of inflation persistence in 20 countries using quarterly data for the period 1980-1998. To address this topic, we used recently developed heterogeneous panel time series methods and found that central bank credibility, as inferred from the black market premium, impacted the degree of inflation persistence associated with central bank interventions and that the magnitude of this effect was correlated with the degree of central bank autonomy.

Keywords: Central bank credibility; black market exchange rate; heterogeneous dynamic panel; panel VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 C23 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-12-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:65572

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