Връзка между икономическите очаквания и стопанската динамика в ЕС-27

Linkages Between Expectations and Economic Dynamics in EU-27

Anton Gerunov

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The paper studies the dynamics of economic expectations in the EU member states over the period 01.1998 to 05.2013 with particular focus on consumer confidence, business climate indicators and inflation expectations. We reach the conclusion that expectations do not converge to a uniform value within the EU but rather groups of countries with similar dynamics cluster together. Additionally we explore the factors influencing inflation expectations and defend the thesis that these are dynamically changing which hints at their heterogeneous nature.

Keywords: economic expectations; inflation; growth; consumer sentiment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D84 E32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Published in Statistics 3-4 (2013): pp. 127-159

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:68795

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