Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Productivity in Pakistan: A District Level Analysis

Munir Ahmad (), Hassan Siftain and Muhammad Iqbal ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This study analyses the impact of climate change on wheat productivity in Pakistan by employing production function approach using districts level data for the period of 1981-2010.The Fixed Effect (FE) estimations support the evidence that an increase of 10C in the mean temperature during sowing time would reduce crop yield by 7.4 percent. The same rise in mean temperature in January and February enhances wheat productivity to the tune of 6.2 percent. However, no significant impact of rise in temperature normals during the maturity stage (March-April) was observed on wheat productivity. The deviations of mean temperature from historic (long run) mean—weather shocks are found posing no threat to wheat productivity during the period under study. Precipitation normals—during vegetative and maturity stages and their deviations from historic mean (positive) exert a positive impact on the wheat yield but the magnitude of the impact of incremental rains came out to be very low.

Keywords: Agriculture; Wheat Yield; Climate Change; Growth Stages; and District Level Panel Data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

Downloads: (external link)
https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/72859/1/MPRA_paper_72859.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:72859

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joachim Winter ().