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Latent Markov and growth mixture models for ordinal individual responses with covariates: a comparison

Fulvia Pennoni and Isabella Romeo

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We propose a short review between two alternative ways of modeling stability and change of longitudinal data when time-fixed and time-varying covariates referred to the observed individuals are available. They both build on the foundation of the finite mixture models and are commonly applied in many fields. They look at the data by a different perspective and in the literature they have not been compared when the ordinal nature of the response variable is of interest. The latent Markov model is based on time-varying latent variables to explain the observable behavior of the individuals. The model is proposed in a semi-parametric formulation as the latent Markov process has a discrete distribution and it is characterized by a Markov structure. The growth mixture model is based on a latent categorical variable that accounts for the unobserved heterogeneity in the observed trajectories and on a mixture of normally distributed random variable to account for the variability of growth rates. To illustrate the main differences among them we refer to a real data example on the self reported health status.

Keywords: Dynamic factor model; Expectation-Maximization algorithm; Forward-Backward recursions; Latent trajectories; Maximum likelihood; Monte Carlo methods. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C02 C14 C18 C3 C33 C38 C63 I11 I12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm and nep-ore
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