Estimating the Likelihood of Winning Parliamentary Constituencies

Vani Borooah

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Borooah compares the two major protagonists in Indian elections – the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Indian National Congress (INC) with respect to their respective probabilities of winning constituency battles. He provides estimates of such probabilities and shows how these differ between the BJP and the INC both with respect to marginal constituencies and with respect to all constituencies where the BJP and the INC went ‘head-to-head’. Lastly, he considers the electoral performances of the INC and the BJP separately for the Hindi-speaking and the non-Hindi speaking major Indian states.

Keywords: Bharatiya Janata Party; Indian National Congress; Marginal Constituencies; Logit Estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-12
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Published in Votes, Parties, and Seats Palgrave Macmillan, London (2015): pp. 45-76

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:76615

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