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Fertility decline, baby boom and economic growth

Kevin Murphy, Curtis Simon and Robert Tamura ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: We present new data documenting the secular decline in fertility in the states of the United States, the dramatic convergence in fertility, child schooling, parental schooling, survival probabilities. In addition we document the disparate nature of the Baby Boom in the United States. There were two different regimes, a large Baby Boom and a Small Baby Boom. The large Baby Boom regions also had the smallest increase in child schooling, whereas the small Baby Boom regions had the largest increase in child schooling. We present suggestive evidence that falling mortality risk is strongly positively correlated with falling fertility, rising education levels of parents is strongly negatively related to fetility, and that population density is negatively related to fertility. Finally we show the robust negative correlation of mortality risk on child schooling attainment, and positve correlation of population density and child schooling attainment.

Keywords: mortality; density; fertility decline; baby boom; economic growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J13 J24 O4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev and nep-hap
Date: 2008-03-03
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Journal Article: Fertility Decline, Baby Boom, and Economic Growth (2008) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:7719

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